I love the game of football. I also a fan of Chelsea FC. For sometime I have been trying out strategies of betting. I have friends who have lost some bucks because of placing many bets i.e. accumalators. This is a secret that bookmarkers have been using all this while to make money though few times they have lost some bucks. The more games one places on a bet it lowers their chances of winning a bet say odds of Man. United beating Aston Villa is 1.35, Chealsea beating southampton 1.25, Spurs beating Norwich is 1.45. If this games are waged on an acummulator bet the chances of winning the bet becomes 1.35*1.25*1.45 i.e. 1/2.45 translating into 40% probability. It would rather be better to place a stake on each individual bet although a small return it would be better than losing all your stake. The bookmarker would make money even if one wins a bet, lets say 200 people stake money of a match, 100 place a stake on the favouite home win, 60 satke money on the draw and 40 stake money on the underdog away. The outcome of the match is one, either home win, draw and away. If the home team wins, for the 100 people who staked against the home team their money will pay the people who staked the home team to win, the remainder is profit for the bookmarker. In EPL english premier league for example, the percentage of home wins, draws and away wins always tends to the averages e.g. 45% 29% 26% respectively and the same applies to the percentage of goals scored e.g. 0goals 5% 1 goal 10% ......e.t.c. There are teams that always perform to the average number of goals every season and to find out this we need to calculate the coefficient of variation for this different number of goals. Here we use atleast data for five (5) season. From a betting perspective, these are the teams that are worthy to stake money on against the bookmarkers and thus we can make some money from bets we stake money on. I am giving you a tip for a team in EPL; Liverpool FC while playing away always the games end in over 1.5 goals atleast 15 games of the 19 games.
To get proof findout the number of games that liverpool played away from home with over 1.5 goals. Get the data from www.football-data.co.uk. For this season Liverpool FC will follow the trend of last season, here is the C.O.V for over and under goals when liverpool is playing away from home.
Don't miss to findout more teams. Enjoy winning over 1.5 goals bets on liverpool playing away from home this season. Check the played games by liverpool so far this season. Please i need your comments.